Appealing to the 'losers'? The electorates of left-wing and right-wing Eurosceptic parties compared, 1989–2014
In: Electoral studies: an international journal on voting and electoral systems and strategy, Band 50, S. 68-79
ISSN: 1873-6890
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In: Electoral studies: an international journal on voting and electoral systems and strategy, Band 50, S. 68-79
ISSN: 1873-6890
In: Journal of European public policy, Band 25, Heft 12, S. 1759-1778
ISSN: 1466-4429
In: European Union politics: EUP, Band 21, Heft 2, S. 294-311
ISSN: 1741-2757
Trust in the European Union is strongly related to trust in national political institutions through extrapolation, i.e. cues from national politics. Most evidence for this mechanism, however, is based on surveys using question blocks that present several institutions at once in non-randomized order. We conducted six split-ballot survey experiments in five European countries, asking about trust in national and European Union institutions (a) separately or in the same question block and (b) in different question orders. Our findings demonstrate survey context effects: asking about two institutions within the same question block increases the correlation of reported levels of trust in these institutions. Furthermore, our findings indicate that national primes decrease reported trust in the European Union, providing novel micro-level evidence for extrapolation and cue-taking from national politics in the formation of public opinion about the European Union.
In: International journal of public opinion research, Band 32, Heft 2, S. 223-242
ISSN: 1471-6909
Abstract
Evaluations of the economy are often assumed to be at the heart of citizens' support for political systems. Despite being a vital source of information, we know little about how economic news coverage influences political support. The present study investigates how exposure to economic news coverage impacts trust in the European Union (EU), using a combination of automated content analysis data and nine-wave panel survey data between 2007 and 2016. We find that respondents exposed to more EU economic news lose confidence in the economy and trust in the EU. Yet, while exposure to negative EU economic news negatively affects economic confidence, it has a positive effect on trust in the EU. The opposite is the case for positive coverage.
In: European Union politics: EUP, Band 20, Heft 3, S. 447-467
ISSN: 1741-2757
In: European journal of communication, Band 34, Heft 1, S. 57-73
ISSN: 1460-3705
Over the past decade, the European Union has lost the trust of many citizens. This article investigates whether and how media information, in particular visibility and tonality, impact trust in the European Union among citizens. Combining content analysis and Eurobarometer survey data from 10 countries between 2004 and 2015, we study both direct and moderating media effects. Media tone and visibility have limited direct effects on trust in the European Union, but they moderate the relation between trust in national institutions and trust in the European Union. This relation is amplified when the European Union is more visible in the media and when media tone is more positive towards the European Union, whereas it is dampened when media tone is more negative. The findings highlight the role of news media in the crisis of trust in the European Union.
In: West European politics, Band 39, Heft 6, S. 1181-1204
ISSN: 1743-9655
In: West European politics, Band 39, Heft 6, S. 1181-1204
ISSN: 0140-2382
In: European Union politics: EUP, Band 22, Heft 4, S. 721-740
ISSN: 1741-2757
Most studies of public opinion towards the European Union focus on attitudes regarding the past and present of the European Union. This study fills a gap by addressing attitudes towards the European Union's future. We expand on a recently developed approach measuring preferences for eight concrete future European Union scenarios that represent the ongoing political and public debate, employing original survey data collected in 2019 in 10 European Union countries. We assess cross-national differences in the distribution of future European Union preferences, as well as in citizens' motivations to prefer different variants of Europe in the future. The findings show citizens' fine-grained future European Union preferences, which are meaningfully related to common explanations of European Union support. We also find cross-national differences linked to countries' structural position within the European Union.
In: Journal of common market studies: JCMS, Band 59, Heft 2, S. 222-241
ISSN: 1468-5965
AbstractPublic opinion on the EU has received growing attention in the last decades, with an ever‐increasing number of studies examining various aspects of it. Surprisingly, most studies focus on attitudes towards the past and present of the EU, yet we know very little about public attitudes towards the future of the EU. This study helps to fill this research gap by examining attitudes towards the EU's long‐term future using a novel approach. We developed eight concrete future EU scenarios based on an inductive analysis of qualitative survey data. Subsequently, respondents (in an independent survey) ranked their top three scenarios according to individual preferences. Using multidimensional unfolding, we show that these preferences form three clusters ordered along a more versus less EU dimension. In a second step, we used multinomial logistic regression to examine not only who supports which scenario (socio‐demographics) but also which EU attitudes lead to which future preferences. The analyses identify distinct characteristics and attitudes that drive people's preference for a given scenario. Overall, we find that factors such as occupational levels or left–right attitudes are strong determinants of preferences for the future of the EU, and that specific EU support (performance and utilitarian evaluations) is more important than diffuse EU support (identity and affect).
In: Journal of European public policy, Band 27, Heft 2, S. 310-328
ISSN: 1466-4429
In: Journal of elections, public opinion and parties, Band 29, Heft 3, S. 341-360
ISSN: 1745-7297
In: van Elsas , E J , Brosius , A , Marquart , F & De Vreese , C H 2020 , ' How political malpractice affects trust in EU institutions ' , West European Politics , vol. 43 , no. 4 , pp. 944-968 . https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2019.1667654
Political misconduct is known to harm the politicians involved. Yet, we know less about how such events affect trust in political institutions. We study a real-world political malpractice affair in the European Commission, using a three-wave panel design to investigate how information about the affair influences trust in EU institutions. This enables us, first, to isolate the impact of new information on political trust, remedying endogeneity issues common in political trust research. Second, we assess which institutions are affected most (specificity) and whether effects depend upon citizens' sophistication levels (conditionality). Finally, we assess the durability of effects over time. Our findings demonstrate that citizens obtain knowledge about EU affairs through the media, and use this knowledge in their trust evaluations. In doing so, citizens differentiate between EU and national institutions, with trust in the European Commission affected most. This suggests a sophisticated process and highlights the evaluative nature of political trust.
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In: West European politics, Band 43, Heft 4, S. 944-968
ISSN: 1743-9655
In: Journal of elections, public opinion and parties, Band 26, Heft 3, S. 253-272
ISSN: 1745-7297